Wednesday, October 6, 2010

NASDAQ / NYSE Index

Stock market produces good gains when nasdaq (^IXIC) leads NY stock Exchange (^NYA)

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Buy NASDAQ when nasdaq crosses over 10 day SMA of NasdaqCompositeClose/NYComposite Close

Sell is the opposite.

Date range 01.01.1999 – 05.10.2010

Profit factor is ok but win rate is below less then 50%.

Saturday, September 11, 2010

M3 Money Supply and DAX



Datasource: http://www.economagic.com/em-cgi/data.exe/ecb/BSI-M-U2-Y-V-M30-X-1-U2-2300-Z01-E-m#Data

Seasonality of DAX

The image below shows the seasonality of the DAX index. The cycles below are constructed by using 19740102 - 20100409 range. Accordingly we can expect DAX to go down in september and go up at the end of october.

Friday, September 10, 2010

Learn from the history

There is similarity between 2003 market buttom and 2009 market buttom. It is possible to learn from history. Market broke down in March 2004. this pattern is repeated with 2 months delay in 2009 mai. Begining 2004 markets followed a consolidation phase until october 2004. Considering this delay I would expect the market to break upward betwen october and december of 2010.

Sunday, June 27, 2010

Currency Conversion for Trading Products in a Non-Base Currency

How to convert a currency if you wish to trade products in a currency other than the currency your account was initially funded in

http://www.viddler.com/explore/ibhelp/videos/104/

FCX - Divergence

FCX - Weekly Elder Impulse System: "

via StockCharts.com

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Monday, February 22, 2010